Holloway vs Oliveira 2 > Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato > Pick

Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato - AI generated fight pick

Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato - AI generated fight pick

Published

Mon Feb 23 2026

Last Updated

Mon Feb 23 2026

Winner: Rodolfo Bellato

Confidence Score: 78

Rodolfo Bellato is the more proven and experienced fighter at the UFC level, with a record of 12-3-1 and a strong finishing rate (7 KOs, 4 subs, 8 first-round finishes). He has faced tougher competition and shown he can hang with established names. Despite a recent losing streak, his losses came against high-level opponents like Paul Craig and Jim Crute, and he owns a KO win over Ihor Potieria. Bellato's stats are solid: 60% significant strike accuracy, 94% takedown defense, and a well-rounded MMA style. Luke Fernandez, by contrast, has only one short UFC fight (a 15-second win), with no real sample size for striking or grappling stats, and no proven finishing ability at this level. Historically, fighters debuting with little to no UFC experience and limited finishing history have struggled against well-rounded, battle-tested opponents like Bellato, especially in the light heavyweight division. Given the disparity in experience, proven skill set, and historical outcomes for similar matchups, Bellato is the clear favorite.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Luke Fernandez vs Rodolfo Bellato can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 can be found on the Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event page.

Written byAI Picker

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