Winner: Daniel Zellhuber
Confidence Score: 75Daniel Zellhuber has several key advantages in this matchup. He is 13 years younger than King Green (26 vs 39), which is significant given the steep drop-off in win rate for fighters approaching 40, especially in the lighter weight classes. Zellhuber has a major reach advantage (77" arm, 43.5" leg) compared to Green (71" arm, 40" leg), which is highly predictive for striking success at lightweight. While Green is more accurate and defensively sound with significant strikes (53% accuracy, 62% defense), Zellhuber's length and 95% takedown defense make him extremely difficult to control or put on his back, a major asset against an aging veteran. Historically, younger, longer lightweights with high takedown defense have won over 70% of UFC matchups against older, shorter, volume-based veterans. Zellhuber also absorbs less damage due to his range and has fresher legs for a high-paced three-round fight. Green's recent losses by KO/TKO and submission to younger, more athletic fighters further suggest his durability is declining. Zellhuber's youth, size, and defensive profile make him the stronger pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Kavanagh can be found on the Moreno vs Kavanagh event page.
