Winner: Cody Durden
Confidence Score: 70Cody Durden has a significant edge in UFC experience and proven competition, with 17 wins and nearly five years in the promotion. He has a more well-rounded skill set, with both knockout and submission wins, and a strong wrestling base. His takedown accuracy (47%) and defense (75%) are notably better than Tumendemberel's (39% accuracy, 55% defense), suggesting he can dictate where the fight takes place. While Tumendemberel has a strong submission game and a reach advantage, his UFC experience is limited and his takedown defense is a concern against a wrestler like Durden. Historically, UFC veterans with superior wrestling and defensive stats have a high win rate against less-experienced, submission-oriented fighters, especially when the veteran is not significantly outsized. Durden’s age (34) is slightly above the divisional average, but not at the point of sharp decline, and his recent performances indicate he remains competitive at this level. Overall, Durden’s experience, wrestling, and ability to avoid submissions give him the edge in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Durden vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Oliveira 2 can be found on the Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event page.
