Winner: Said Nurmagomedov
Confidence Score: 62Said Nurmagomedov is the more proven and experienced bantamweight at the UFC level, with a longer UFC tenure and a higher level of competition faced. He has a slightly better record (18-5 vs 14-2), more first-round finishes, and a much shorter average fight time, indicating a more explosive and opportunistic style. While Javid Basharat has a higher significant strike accuracy (54% vs 49%) and better takedown defense (84% vs 63%), Said's dynamic striking and submission threat (6 UFC subs, 9 first-round finishes) have proven effective against a wide range of opponents. Basharat's recent skid (three straight losses, including a KO) raises questions about his current form and durability, especially against a finisher like Said. Historically, fighters with Said's experience, finishing ability, and Dagestani background have a strong win rate against similar profiles, especially when facing opponents on a losing streak. The pick is not overwhelmingly confident due to Basharat's defensive stats and well-rounded skillset, but the edge goes to Said based on finishing ability, experience, and historical outcomes in similar matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bautista vs Oliveira can be found on the Bautista vs Oliveira event page.
