Winner: Quillan Salkilld
Confidence Score: 68Quillan Salkilld has shown a rapid rise in the lightweight division, boasting a 10-1 record with a high significant strike accuracy (58%) and perfect takedown defense (100%). He is 6 years younger than Jamie Mullarkey, which is a historically significant advantage in lightweight matchups—fighters aged 25 or younger have a notably higher win rate against those 30+. Salkilld also holds a slight reach advantage (75" arm, 42" leg) and has finished more than half his wins in the first round, indicating explosive potential. While his strike defense (44%) is lower than Mullarkey's, his offensive metrics (58% accuracy, 35% takedown accuracy) and ability to keep the fight standing play into Mullarkey's recent vulnerabilities—Mullarkey has lost 3 of his last 5 by KO/TKO, showing declining durability. Additionally, Salkilld's 100% takedown defense neutralizes Mullarkey's 30% takedown accuracy, making it unlikely Mullarkey can dictate the grappling. Given the youth, activity, finishing ability, and stylistic advantages, Salkilld is the more likely winner, though Mullarkey's experience means it isn't a lock.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Quillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 can be found on the Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 event page.
