Winner: Jailton Almeida
Confidence Score: 78Jailton Almeida has a significant edge in grappling and submission ability, with 13 submission wins and a 63% takedown accuracy. He has consistently shown the ability to control and finish high-level heavyweights, as evidenced by his dominant wins and high first-round finish rate (16). While Rizvan Kuniev has strong takedown defense (90%) and is physically larger, his UFC experience is limited and he lost his debut via split decision. Almeida's UFC-tested resume, superior finishing instincts, and demonstrated ability to implement a wrestling-heavy game plan against bigger opponents make him the more proven and likely winner. Historically, fighters with Almeida's style and finishing rate, especially with a reach advantage, win a high percentage of similar heavyweight matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bautista vs Oliveira can be found on the Bautista vs Oliveira event page.
