Winner: Nikolay Veretennikov
Confidence Score: 62Nikolay Veretennikov is the pick due to his superior significant strike accuracy (56% vs. 43%) and slightly better takedown defense (63% vs. 50%), which are crucial in a matchup where both fighters have shown defensive vulnerabilities. While both are 35 and have similar physical attributes, Niko Price's recent form is concerning, with four losses in his last five, including two by KO/TKO, indicating declining durability. Veretennikov's Sambo base could help him neutralize Price's freestyle unpredictability, and his ability to land efficiently at range is a key edge. The matchup history shows fighters with Veretennikov's profile (solid defense, high accuracy, and Sambo background) have had recent success against aggressive but defensively porous strikers like Price, especially as they age and their chin starts to fade. However, Price's power and finishing ability keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Bautista vs Oliveira can be found on the Bautista vs Oliveira event page.
