Winner: Ailin Perez
Confidence Score: 62Ailin Perez has a more favorable statistical profile for this matchup. She is younger (31 vs. 34), which historically correlates with higher win rates in closely matched women's bantamweight fights. Perez holds significant advantages in striking accuracy (55% vs. 46%) and striking defense (56% vs. 46%), as well as a notable edge in takedown accuracy (47% vs. 37%). While Macy Chiasson has a large reach advantage (6" arm, 6" leg), Perez's recent performances and higher finishing rates in the first round (4 vs. 3) suggest she can overcome this. Additionally, Perez is on a strong run with a better overall win/loss record and has demonstrated the ability to handle opponents with similar physical profiles. While Chiasson's experience and reach make her dangerous, the statistical trend in recent women's bantamweight fights favors the younger, more accurate striker with better recent form.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moreno vs Kavanagh can be found on the Moreno vs Kavanagh event page.
