Winner: Punahele Soriano
Confidence Score: 67Punahele Soriano is the more well-rounded and dangerous striker in this matchup, with a significant edge in knockout power (7 KOs to 1 for Brahimaj) and a higher significant strike accuracy (55% vs. 47%). Soriano also boasts a much higher rate of first-round finishes, indicating a fast starter who can capitalize on Brahimaj’s slow starts. While Brahimaj is a submission specialist (12 subs), Soriano’s recent record shows improvement in grappling defense, and he has only been submitted once in his last five fights. Historically, fighters with Soriano’s striking accuracy and power in the welterweight division have a strong win rate against submission-heavy opponents with lower striking output. Soriano’s takedown defense (40%) is below average but is offset by his own wrestling background and ability to keep fights standing against less dynamic wrestlers. Given Soriano’s recent knockout win over Uros Medic and his ability to go the distance with strikers like Miguel Baeza, he is better equipped to dictate where the fight takes place and avoid Brahimaj’s submission setups. Brahimaj’s path to victory is narrow and relies on early grappling dominance, while Soriano has more ways to win and a proven ability to recover from adversity.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Strickland vs Hernandez can be found on the Strickland vs Hernandez event page.
