Winner: Phil Rowe
Confidence Score: 70Phil Rowe holds significant physical advantages with an 8.5-inch reach and 4-inch height advantage over Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, which is a critical factor in welterweight matchups. Historically, fighters with large reach advantages and a boxing base have a higher win rate, especially against debuting or less-experienced UFC opponents. Rowe has proven finishing ability (7 KOs, 4 submissions), solid takedown accuracy (36%), and enough grappling to threaten if the fight goes to the ground. Lebosnoyani, while dangerous with a high finishing rate and excellent striking accuracy, has not faced UFC-level competition and has zero takedown defense or wrestling stats, which is a red flag against a veteran like Rowe. The age gap (Rowe 35, Lebosnoyani 27) slightly favors the younger fighter, but debuting welterweights with similar stats to Lebosnoyani have struggled against longer, more experienced strikers in the past 100 UFC fights. Unless Rowe has regressed significantly, his reach, experience, and more proven skillset give him the edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Strickland vs Hernandez can be found on the Strickland vs Hernandez event page.
