Winner: Vitor Petrino
Confidence Score: 84Vitor Petrino has a significant edge in both experience and proven ability at a higher level of competition. While Steven Asplund has an impressive knockout rate (6 KOs in 7 wins) and strong striking stats (59% accuracy, 58% defense), he lacks UFC experience and has not demonstrated grappling skills (0% takedown accuracy, no submissions). Petrino, already ranked #15, has a more well-rounded skill set with solid striking (46% accuracy), wrestling (51% takedown accuracy), and submission threat (2 submission wins). He has also shown the ability to finish fights early (5 first-round finishes) and has a longer average fight time, indicating better stamina and composure in longer bouts. Historically, fighters moving up to the UFC from regional circuits with similar profiles to Asplund tend to struggle against ranked, well-rounded opponents like Petrino. Petrino’s takedown game and experience against higher-level competition make him the safer pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Emmett vs Vallejos can be found on the Emmett vs Vallejos event page.
