Winner: Rafael Estevam
Confidence Score: 68Rafael Estevam is undefeated at 14-0 with a well-rounded MMA skillset, showing consistent success against established UFC competition. He has a solid significant strike accuracy (54%), decent takedown defense (67%), and a proven ability to win decisions against gritty opponents like Charles Johnson and Jesus Aguilar. While Ethyn Ewing has a high knockout rate and perfect takedown defense (100%), his UFC experience is limited, and he lacks submission wins, which could be a disadvantage against a more versatile opponent. Historically, fighters with Estevam's undefeated record, finishing ability, and recent form in the Bantamweight division win these matchups at a high rate, especially when they have already proven themselves against UFC-level opponents. Estevam's durability, experience, and ability to control the fight pace give him the edge, though Ewing's power and takedown defense make an upset possible.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moicano vs Duncan can be found on the Moicano vs Duncan event page.
