Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson - AI generated fight pick

Drew Dober has a significant power advantage, with 16 knockout wins and 10 first-round finishes compared to Michael Johnson's 10 KOs and 8 first-round finishes. Dober is also younger (37 vs 39), which is relevant as fighters over 38 in the lightweight division have a notably lower win rate in recent years. While Johnson has a reach advantage (73.5" vs 70"), Dober's striking accuracy (41%) and higher finishing rate suggest he can close the distance and land the more damaging shots. Johnson's takedown defense is excellent (81%), but Dober rarely pursues takedowns, making this less relevant. Dober's durability and ability to end fights early, combined with Johnson's history of being finished by strikes, tilt the matchup toward Dober. However, Johnson's movement and technical boxing keep the confidence below 70%. Recent form is comparable, but age and finishing ability give Dober the edge in this stylistic matchup.