Regina Tarin vs Ernesta Kareckaite - AI generated fight pick

Ernesta Kareckaite is the clear pick based on available data. She has UFC experience with a solid 6-1-1 record, two wins by KO, and strong grappling stats, including 67% takedown accuracy and 83% takedown defense. Her significant strike accuracy (42%) and defense (48%) are serviceable, and her ability to go the distance (average fight time 15:00) shows she can handle the pace of a full fight. In contrast, Regina Tarin is making her UFC debut, is only 21, and has no available statistics or pro record to compare. Historically, UFC debutants with no experience, especially at a young age and against opponents with proven UFC-level durability and defense, win at a much lower rate. Kareckaite’s size (5'9" with a 71" reach) and experience edge are significant advantages in this catchweight bout. Unless Tarin is an exceptional prospect (with no evidence to support that), Kareckaite is a strong favorite.