Winner: John Castaneda
Confidence Score: 86John Castaneda has a significant experience and skill edge over Mark Vologdin. Castaneda holds a 21-8 record with a balanced set of finishing abilities (8 KOs, 6 submissions), strong first-round finishing rate, and a well-rounded MMA style. His striking accuracy (51%) is nearly identical to Vologdin's, but he boasts much better defensive numbers (54% significant strike defense vs. Vologdin's 35%), and his takedown defense (74%) is notably superior. Castaneda also has a considerable reach advantage (71" vs. 65"), which, combined with his experience against higher-level competition and ability to finish fights, puts him in a strong position. Vologdin, with only one UFC fight (a loss), has not demonstrated the ability to compete at this level yet, and historically, UFC debutants with similar stat profiles and limited finishing ability have a low win rate against experienced, well-rounded veterans like Castaneda.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for John Castaneda vs Mark Vologdin can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Burns vs Malott can be found on the Burns vs Malott event page.
