Winner: Azamat Bekoev
Confidence Score: 72Azamat Bekoev is the more proven, well-rounded, and battle-tested fighter in this matchup. He holds a significant experience edge with a 20-4 record compared to Tresean Gore's 6-4, and he has demonstrated consistent finishing ability (8 KOs, 8 submissions, 10 first-round finishes). While Gore is dangerous early and has a high takedown accuracy (75%), Bekoev's submission skills and finishing rate in the first round (10 first-round finishes) suggest he can capitalize on any grappling exchanges. Bekoev's average fight time is nearly three minutes shorter, indicating a more aggressive and effective style. Statistically, fighters with Bekoev's profile (age 30, Russian MMA base, balanced finishing, and strong submission game) have a high win rate against boxing-based Americans with Gore's record and recent form. Gore’s recent losses, especially by KO/TKO, raise durability concerns, and his significant strike defense (41%) is lower than Bekoev’s output and accuracy (46%). Historically, Russian fighters with Bekoev’s metrics in the UFC Middleweight division have outperformed American boxers with Gore’s profile. Bekoev’s recent competition level and proven ability to finish fights in multiple ways give him a clear edge.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Azamat Bekoev vs Tresean Gore can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Moicano vs Duncan can be found on the Moicano vs Duncan event page.
