Winner: Montel Jackson
Confidence Score: 70Montel Jackson has significant physical advantages with a 3-inch height, 8.5-inch arm reach, and 2-inch leg reach edge over Raoni Barcelos. He is also five years younger, which is a notable factor at bantamweight, especially as Barcelos is now 38. Both fighters have similar significant strike accuracy (52%) and defense (61%), but Jackson's takedown accuracy (64%) is more than double Barcelos' (31%), and he has a high rate of first-round finishes (7 out of 15 wins). While Barcelos has elite takedown defense (88%), Jackson's length and wrestling threat could pose new problems. Barcelos has been on a resurgence with four straight wins, but historically, younger, longer, and more athletic fighters with Jackson's profile have a strong win rate in similar matchups, especially when they are ranked and the older fighter is not. Jackson's combination of youth, reach, and wrestling upside gives him a stylistic and statistical edge, though Barcelos' recent form and experience keep this from being a lock.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Sterling vs Zalal can be found on the Sterling vs Zalal event page.
