Winner: Rodolfo Vieira
Confidence Score: 82Rodolfo Vieira holds a significant advantage in grappling and submission prowess, with 9 of his 11 wins coming by submission and a 21% takedown accuracy. His takedown defense (75%) and significant strike accuracy (54%) are both superior to Eric McConico, whose takedown accuracy is 0% and whose style is more freestyle/striking-focused. McConico has struggled against high-level grapplers and has been finished by KO/TKO in two of his last three fights, indicating vulnerability against aggressive finishers. Vieira's UFC experience (since 2019) and success against similar opponents with longer reach and striking backgrounds further tilt the matchup in his favor. Historically, fighters with Vieira's elite BJJ profile and strong takedown defense have had high success rates against mid-level freestyle fighters, especially those with subpar grappling stats and recent knockout losses.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Sterling vs Zalal can be found on the Sterling vs Zalal event page.
