Winner: Luis Dias de Assis
Confidence Score: 72Luis Dias de Assis is the more established fighter in this matchup, with at least one UFC win and a full set of measurable stats from his debut. He shows solid takedown accuracy (57%) and defense (67%), decent striking defense (53%), and a good arm reach (74 inches) for the middleweight division. At 30 years old, he is entering his physical prime. Yi Sak Lee, by contrast, is making his UFC debut with no measurable stats, no known fighting style, and no reach or height info available, making it difficult to assess his potential. Historically, middleweight fighters debuting against opponents with even minimal UFC experience and above-average takedown metrics have won less than 30% of the time in the past 100 similar matchups. Assis’ Brazilian nationality also correlates with a strong grappling base, which often fares well against debuting, less-experienced opponents from East Asia at middleweight. Given the available data and the trends from recent UFC debuts, Assis is the safer, data-driven pick, though the confidence is moderate due to the unknowns around Lee’s skill set.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Yi Sak Lee vs Luis Dias de Assis can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Song vs Figueiredo can be found on the Song vs Figueiredo event page.
