Winner: Cody Haddon
Confidence Score: 68Cody Haddon is the pick due to his high-level defensive metrics and recent momentum. He boasts an 83% takedown defense, which is a significant advantage against Aoriqileng's wrestling-heavy approach (Aoriqileng has a 47% takedown accuracy but only a 58% takedown defense). Haddon also has a superior significant strike defense (64% vs. 49%) and slightly better striking accuracy (51% vs. 50%). Both fighters are the same size, but Haddon is five years younger and has less accumulated fight wear. Historically, fighters in the bantamweight division with Haddon's age, defense, and recent win streaks have a strong win rate over older, more battle-worn brawlers like Aoriqileng. While Aoriqileng has more experience, his low submission numbers and defensive liabilities present openings for a well-rounded, defensively sound fighter like Haddon, who can mix in striking and wrestling. This analysis is supported by recent trends of younger, defensively strong bantamweights outperforming older pressure fighters.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Aoriqileng vs Cody Haddon can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Song vs Figueiredo can be found on the Song vs Figueiredo event page.
