Winner: Dom Mar Fan
Confidence Score: 70Dom Mar Fan has a notable statistical edge in several key areas. He possesses a significant reach advantage (4 inches in arm reach and 1.5 inches in leg reach), is 4 years younger, and has a more well-rounded MMA style compared to Kody Steele's Jiu-Jitsu focus. Dom Mar Fan's striking metrics are superior, with a 56% significant strike accuracy (compared to Steele's 33%) and a much higher takedown accuracy (50% vs. 14%). He is also more effective offensively, as shown by his ability to go the distance with a longer average fight time and higher output. While both fighters are relatively new to the UFC and have limited UFC experience, historical data favors younger, longer, and more accurate strikers in similar lightweight matchups. Although Kody Steele's 100% takedown defense is impressive, his low offensive wrestling output and lower striking accuracy are concerning. Therefore, the statistical and stylistic factors favor Dom Mar Fan as the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Dom Mar Fan vs Kody Steele can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Prates can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Prates event page.
