Winner: Roman Kopylov
Confidence Score: 66Roman Kopylov is the more proven UFC commodity with a longer tenure and greater experience against higher-level competition. He has a strong knockout record (12 KOs in 14 wins), a slight reach advantage, and a significant edge in takedown defense (89% vs 0%). While Marco Tulio is a dangerous striker with a high striking accuracy and recent knockouts, his takedown defense is a major liability, and he was recently knocked out by Christian Leroy Duncan. Kopylov's ability to mix in takedowns (48% accuracy) and defend them, combined with his power and durability (longer average fight time), gives him the edge over Tulio, who has yet to prove himself against top UFC talent and has shown defensive gaps. Historically, fighters with Kopylov's experience, reach, and defensive stats win the majority of similar matchups in the middleweight division.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Chimaev vs Strickland can be found on the Chimaev vs Strickland event page.
