Winner: Shauna Bannon
Confidence Score: 68Shauna Bannon holds significant physical advantages with a 2-inch height, 3-inch arm reach, and 3-inch leg reach advantage over Nicolle Caliari. Bannon's striking is more accurate (43% vs 38%) and she absorbs less damage than Caliari, who has a slightly better strike defense but has been finished by KO/TKO in her last fight. While Caliari has more finishing ability (5 KOs, 3 subs), her takedown defense is a glaring weakness (0%), and her takedown accuracy is also low (24%). Bannon has yet to score a takedown in the UFC but her 40% takedown defense and superior range could neutralize Caliari's offense. Historically, fighters with Bannon's size, striking accuracy, and reach in this division have won a majority of similar matchups, especially when their opponent is coming off stoppage losses. Bannon's longer UFC tenure and experience against higher-level opposition further support her edge here. However, the lack of grappling threat from Bannon and both fighters' recent losses keep the confidence below 70%.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Allen vs Costa can be found on the Allen vs Costa event page.
