Winner: Ketlen Vieira
Confidence Score: 65Ketlen Vieira is the more proven, higher-ranked bantamweight with significant UFC experience and a well-rounded skill set. She has a strong judo base, solid grappling (4 submission wins), and high-level takedown defense (90%). While Cavalcanti is a rising, undefeated striker with solid reach advantages (70" arm, 41" leg) and elite striking defense (69%), she has yet to face a grappler of Vieira's caliber. Historically, fighters with Vieira's experience, top-5 ranking, and grappling credentials have a strong win rate over newer strikers, especially when they can neutralize striking with takedowns or clinch control. Vieira's ability to mix in takedowns (44% accuracy) and defend against them makes her a tough stylistic matchup for Cavalcanti, who has not shown offensive wrestling or submissions in the UFC. Vieira's age (34) is a slight concern, but her recent form and high-level opposition give her the edge. The pick is Vieira, but Cavalcanti's youth and striking acumen keep the confidence below 70.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Allen vs Costa can be found on the Allen vs Costa event page.
