Winner: Alice Ardelean
Confidence Score: 78Alice Ardelean is a stylistic nightmare for Polyana Viana in this matchup. Ardelean boasts a significant advantage in striking accuracy (46% vs 40%) and defense (62% vs 53%), as well as superior takedown defense (86% vs 35%) and takedown accuracy (44% vs 33%). Viana is highly submission-oriented, but her recent losses have come against strong grapplers and strikers, and she has struggled when unable to dictate position. Ardelean, a striker with solid grappling defense, can keep the fight standing and exploit Viana’s weak takedown defense. Additionally, Ardelean's average fight time (15:00) suggests she is durable and can avoid early finishes, whereas Viana’s tendency for early finishes has not translated against tough, well-rounded opponents. Historically, fighters with Ardelean’s profile (age 33, high takedown defense, striker style) have a strong win rate against submission-first fighters with poor takedown defense. Viana’s recent form (1-4 in last 5) and vulnerability to both strikes and submissions further tip the scales in Ardelean’s favor. No recent injuries or camp issues have been reported for either fighter.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Allen vs Costa can be found on the Allen vs Costa event page.
