Winner: Angela Hill
Confidence Score: 74Angela Hill is the clear data-driven pick based on several factors. Hill brings a wealth of UFC experience, having fought 34 times in the promotion, and is currently ranked #14 in the division. Her striking is highly effective, with a 50% significant strike accuracy and a 60% significant strike defense, both well above the divisional average. She also has solid takedown defense at 73%, which is important against aggressive newcomers. Jingnan Xiong, while an accomplished fighter outside the UFC (notably as ONE Championship's strawweight champion), is making her UFC debut. Historically, fighters debuting in the UFC—especially at an older age or against ranked, experienced opponents—win less than 30% of the time in the women's strawweight division. Hill's experience against elite competition, ability to go the distance (average fight time 14:24), and proven durability make her a strong favorite. While Xiong is a dangerous striker, the lack of UFC experience and unknowns about her adaptation to the Octagon and USADA testing are significant variables. Therefore, Hill's proven UFC-level skills, durability, and experience against top-tier opponents give her the edge in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Angela Hill vs Jingnan Xiong can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Song vs Figueiredo can be found on the Song vs Figueiredo event page.
