Winner: Trey Ogden
Confidence Score: 80Trey Ogden has a significant experience advantage with 25 professional fights compared to Thomas Gantt's single pro bout. Ogden's skill set is well-rounded, with 11 submission wins and a 100% takedown defense, indicating strong grappling and defensive wrestling. He is a proven finisher, with six first-round finishes and a lengthy average fight time, showing he can go the distance. Gantt has superior reach (76.5" vs 72"), but his stats are based on just one UFC fight, making them less reliable. Historically, fighters with Ogden's experience and grappling credentials have a high win rate over UFC newcomers, even those with physical advantages. The lack of proven competition for Gantt and Ogden's ability to neutralize takedowns and finish on the ground make Ogden the clear favorite.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Trey Ogden vs Thomas Gantt can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Allen vs Costa can be found on the Allen vs Costa event page.
