Winner: Chelsea Chandler
Confidence Score: 62Chelsea Chandler is the pick due to her significant size and reach advantages, as well as her superior grappling metrics. Chandler is younger (34 vs 37), has a 1.5 inch height, 3 inch arm, and 3 inch leg reach advantage, which is particularly relevant in this weight class. She has a much higher takedown accuracy (60% vs 40%) and a more diverse finishing record (KO/TKO and submissions), while Priscila Cachoeira has zero wins by submission. Both fighters have struggled recently, but Chandler's striking accuracy and ability to mix in takedowns could exploit Cachoeira's aggressive brawling style and her historical issues with grapplers. Historically, fighters with Chandler's physical and stylistic profile have found success against older, shorter-reach brawlers like Cachoeira, especially when they can impose a grappling threat. However, Chandler's takedown defense is a concern (29%), so if she can't get the fight down or lets Cachoeira dictate the pace, it could be risky. Ultimately, Chandler's physical tools, grappling upside, and slightly better recent form make her the more likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Muhammad vs Bonfim can be found on the Muhammad vs Bonfim event page.
