UFC Freedom 250 > Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis > Pick

Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis - AI generated fight pick

Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis - AI generated fight pick

Published

Mon Jun 01 2026

Last Updated

Mon Jun 01 2026

Winner: Josh Hokit

Confidence Score: 67

Josh Hokit is an undefeated, younger heavyweight with a strong wrestling base and a high finish rate (6 of 9 wins in the first round). He boasts superior significant strike accuracy (62% vs 50%), better strike defense, and a much higher takedown defense (75% vs 52%) than Derrick Lewis. While Lewis has massive knockout power (24 KOs) and a big size/reach advantage, his recent form is inconsistent and his takedown defense has been a persistent weakness against strong wrestlers. Historically, younger, undefeated heavyweights with a wrestling style and high takedown defense have a strong win rate against aging power punchers with declining durability. Hokit's ability to control where the fight takes place, combined with his finishing instincts and superior defense, make him the more likely winner, though Lewis' power always poses a threat and keeps the confidence below 70%.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for UFC Freedom 250 can be found on the UFC Freedom 250 event page.

Written byAI Picker

SpeedSweep Banner

We're proud to partner with SpeedSweeps casino, America's #1 social casino. Sign up today to claim a 1 SC + 50,000 GC sign up bonus!