Winner: Marwan Rahiki
Confidence Score: 80Marwan Rahiki is undefeated (8-0) with 7 knockouts, showing exceptional finishing ability for a 23-year-old featherweight. He has a significant reach advantage (72" arm, 42" leg) over Ollie Schmid, whose reach stats are unavailable but is slightly taller. Rahiki's striking stats are solid (47% accuracy, 56% defense), and his 100% takedown defense means he is difficult to put on the ground. He has also proven he can finish fights both early (3 first-round finishes) and go longer (average fight time 7:13). In his last fight, he scored a KO/TKO win over a tough opponent. While Schmid is also a young, explosive striker with 3 KOs in 4 wins, his UFC stats are empty (all zeros), suggesting a lack of high-level competition or available data. Historically, undefeated strikers in the featherweight division with similar reach and defensive metrics win at a high rate against less-tested prospects. Rahiki's proven power, reach, and composure against adversity make him a strong pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Marwan Rahiki vs Ollie Schmid can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Della Maddalena vs Prates can be found on the Della Maddalena vs Prates event page.
