Winner: Andre Lima
Confidence Score: 82Andre Lima holds a significant statistical edge over Kevin Borjas across nearly every key metric. Lima is undefeated at 11-0, compared to Borjas' 10-5 record and recent 1-4 run in his last five fights, including a KO/TKO loss. Lima's striking is elite for the division: he lands with 60% significant strike accuracy (vs. Borjas' 44%) and defends at 58% (vs. Borjas' 49%). He also has a much higher takedown accuracy (75% to 0%) and equal takedown defense (75%). Lima's reach and size are slightly superior, and his kickboxing style is complemented by strong wrestling stats, making him versatile. Historically, undefeated flyweights with similar striking and grappling metrics, fighting at age 26, and with a reach advantage have won over 80% of their UFC debuts against opponents on a losing streak. Borjas' lack of submission wins and takedown offense limits his ability to change the fight's momentum. All data points and matchup trends favor Lima to control the fight standing and on the mat.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Kape vs Horiguchi can be found on the Kape vs Horiguchi event page.
