Winner: Modestas Bukauskas
Confidence Score: 90Modestas Bukauskas is a proven UFC veteran with a 19-7 record, 11 knockouts, and 3 submissions, showing both finishing ability and experience. Statistically, he has a solid significant strike accuracy (43%) and defense (51%), as well as strong takedown defense (79%) and accuracy (67%), which are well above divisional averages. He has also demonstrated durability and the ability to finish fights early (8 first-round finishes). Christian Edwards, meanwhile, is making his UFC debut with no UFC stats or fight history at this level, which is a significant disadvantage. Historically, fighters debuting in the UFC against established veterans with similar records and striking backgrounds have a very low win rate. Bukauskas' size, reach, and kickboxing style further add to his edge, making him a strong favorite in this matchup.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Modestas Bukauskas vs Christian Edwards can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Allen vs Costa can be found on the Allen vs Costa event page.
