Winner: Bryce Mitchell
Confidence Score: 72Bryce Mitchell has a significant edge in experience, with 22 UFC fights compared to Santiago Luna's 2. Mitchell's grappling is elite for the division, evidenced by 9 submission wins and 8 first-round finishes. While Luna has a longer reach and is a well-rounded prospect, his takedown defense is only 50% and he has not faced the same level of competition. Mitchell's submission game is especially dangerous for less-experienced opponents, and historically, fighters with similar experience and grappling credentials have a high success rate against rising prospects with lower-level UFC experience. While Luna's takedown accuracy and striking defense are impressive, the edge in proven durability, fight IQ, and grappling favors Mitchell.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Muhammad vs Bonfim can be found on the Muhammad vs Bonfim event page.
