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Fakhretdinov vs Dalby UFC Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Fakhretdinov vs Dalby UFC Fight Analysis & Betting Tips

Published

Mon Jun 10 2024

Last Updated

Mon Jun 10 2024

Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby: The Showdown in Riyadh

Fight fans and bettors, mark your calendars! On June 22, 2024, the Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, will be the stage for an electrifying showdown between two seasoned Welterweight warriors, Rinat Fakhretdinov and Nicolas Dalby. This matchup not only promises explosive action inside the Octagon but also presents intriguing opportunities for those looking to place smart wagers in the world of UFC sports betting.

Betting Odds & Predictions

As we gear up for this clash, the betting odds are already shaping up. Rinat Fakhretdinov, the Russian powerhouse, is entering the Octagon as the favorite. His odds are hovering around -270 across various sportsbooks like Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. On the flip side, Nicolas Dalby from Denmark is the underdog, with odds ranging from +200 to +225 as per bookmakers like Bovada and BetOnline. Those odds reflect the general consensus that Fakhretdinov’s formidable track record makes him a difficult opponent to beat.

Fighter Stats & Records

When it comes to fight records, Fakhretdinov boasts an impressive 21-1-1, with 11 wins by knockout and 6 by submission. His average fight time is 11:29, and his significant strike accuracy stands at an imposing 56%, reflecting his technical superiority and striking precision. His takedown accuracy is also noteworthy at 46%, and he has a perfect 100% takedown defense record. Born in Mordovia Republic, Russia, this 32-year-old fighter has quickly risen through the ranks since his UFC debut in June 2022.

On the other hand, Nicolas Dalby, a seasoned veteran with a record of 23-4-1, brings his own unique skills to the table. With 6 wins by knockout and 4 by submission, Dalby’s repertoire is versatile. His average fight time is slightly higher at 13:32, indicative of his endurance and ability to drag fights into the later rounds. His significant strike accuracy is at 44%, and his takedown defense is a respectable 60%. At 38 years old, the Danish fighter uses his experience to navigate the rigors of the Octagon.

Recent Performances

Both fighters have had their ups and downs. Fakhretdinov is coming off a recent loss by majority decision to Elizeu dos Santos, which snapped his winning streak. Before that, he secured a dominant submission victory over Kevin Lee in just 55 seconds—an astonishing display of his ground game prowess.

Dalby’s recent history is a mixed bag. His last bout saw him lose to Peter Sobotta by decision, but he previously clinched a win against Zak Cummings. Dalby’s ability to bounce back makes this matchup all the more unpredictable and exciting.

Why You Should Watch

This fight isn't just about the records and statistics; it's a collision of styles and strategies. Fakhretdinov’s aggressive striking and impeccable takedown defense will be tested against Dalby’s seasoned resilience and tactical acumen. For bettors, understanding these nuances can make all the difference in making informed UFC event predictions and placing smart bets.

Whether you're a die-hard UFC fan or a savvy sports bettor looking for the best UFC betting tips, this fight offers a wealth of action and potential surprises. The preliminary card bout between Fakhretdinov and Dalby is shaping up to be an unmissable fight, full of intense exchanges and strategic maneuvers. Make sure you don’t miss this captivating matchup on June 22nd at the Kingdom Arena. Stay tuned, place your bets, and get ready for a thrilling night of UFC action!

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Whittaker vs Aliskerov can be found on the Whittaker vs Aliskerov event page.

Fighter Profiles: Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby

Rinat Fakhretdinov: The Russian Mauler

Background

Rinat Fakhretdinov, known for his devastating striking and grappling capabilities, hails from the Mordovia Republic, Russia. At 32 years old, Fakhretdinov has swiftly cemented his reputation in the Welterweight division since making his UFC debut on June 4, 2022. Standing 6 feet tall with a reach of 74 inches, he leverages his physical attributes and refined skills to overwhelm opponents.

Recent Form

In his last few outings, Fakhretdinov has shown both his potential and areas for improvement. Here's a quick rundown of his most recent fights:

  1. Loss against Elizeu dos Santos (2023-11-04): Fakhretdinov suffered a majority decision loss, a rare blemish on his otherwise stellar record.
  2. Win against Kevin Lee (2023-07-01): He secured an impressive submission victory in just 55 seconds, showcasing his ground game.
  3. Win against Bryan Battle (2022-12-17): A dominant unanimous decision victory, demonstrating his striking and tactical prowess.
  4. Loss against Andreas Michailidis (2022-06-04): Another decision loss, indicating possible vulnerabilities in defensive gameplay over extended rounds.

Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Strengths: Fakhretdinov’s striking accuracy is a formidable 56%, making his stand-up game extremely dangerous. He also boasts a 100% takedown defense, effectively neutralizing opponents looking to grapple. His offensive takedown accuracy stands at 46%, marking him as a well-rounded fighter capable of controlling the fight both on the feet and the mat.
  • Weaknesses: Despite his impressive stats, Fakhretdinov's recent losses by decision suggest a possible vulnerability in long, drawn-out fights. Maintaining stamina and focus over three rounds is critical for him to avoid future decision defeats.

Nicolas Dalby: The Danish Veteran

Background

Nicolas Dalby, a seasoned UFC competitor, hails from Fr. Vaerk Hundested, Denmark. At 38 years old, Dalby brings a wealth of experience into the Octagon. He stands 5 feet 10 inches tall with an arm reach of 74.5 inches and a leg reach of 43 inches. A versatile MMA fighter, Dalby has been competing in the UFC since his debut on May 30, 2015.

Recent Form

Dalby's recent performances have been a mix of highs and lows, reflecting both his resilience and areas that need improvement:

  1. Loss against Peter Sobotta (2016-09-03): Suffered a decision loss, indicating a struggle with top-tier competition.
  2. Win against Zak Cummings (2016-04-10): Triumphed via decision, showing his ability to grind out victories.
  3. Loss against Darren Till (2015-10-24): Another decision loss, highlighting defensive lapses.
  4. Win against Elizeu Dos Santos (2015-05-30): Secured a decision win, underscoring his endurance and tactical acuity.

Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Strengths: Dalby’s versatility shines through with 6 wins by knockout and 4 by submission out of 23 career victories. His average fight time of 13:32 suggests that he is comfortable going the distance. Additionally, his significant strike count stands at 44%, and his takedown defense is a solid 60%, making him a tough nut to crack.
  • Weaknesses: Dalby’s significant strike defense matches that of Fakhretdinov at 53%, suggesting both are equally vulnerable to taking damage. His takedown accuracy at 31% indicates room for improvement in controlling the fight on the ground.

Head-to-Head Breakdown

This matchup is a quintessential clash of experience versus raw potential. Fakhretdinov’s precise striking and flawless takedown defense will be tested against Dalby’s endurance and veteran savvy. While Fakhretdinov has the youth and striking advantage, Dalby’s wealth of experience and ability to adapt could prove to be a significant factor.

For those keen on making informed UFC event predictions and exploring UFC betting tips, understanding these fighters’ profiles is crucial. Both bring distinct skill sets and temperaments to the Octagon, and their meeting promises to be a thrilling spectacle.

Betting Odds Analysis: Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby

When it comes to UFC sports betting, understanding the odds can be just as thrilling as the fight itself. The upcoming bout between Rinat Fakhretdinov and Nicolas Dalby offers some intriguing betting opportunities, with odds that reflect the fighters' recent performances and perceived chances of victory.

Current Betting Odds

The bookmakers have established Rinat Fakhretdinov as the clear favorite for this fight. Here are the current odds from some notable sportsbooks:

  • Caesars: Fakhretdinov at -270, Dalby at +220
  • Bovada: Fakhretdinov at -260, Dalby at +210
  • FanDuel: Fakhretdinov at -265, Dalby at +200
  • BetRivers: Fakhretdinov at -265, Dalby at +205
  • DraftKings: Fakhretdinov at -270, Dalby at +220
  • BetOnline.ag: Fakhretdinov at -265, Dalby at +225
  • BetUS: Fakhretdinov at -260, Dalby at +210
  • LowVig.ag: Fakhretdinov at -265, Dalby at +225

Best Sportsbook for Betting

If you’re looking to place a bet on Nicolas Dalby, BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag currently offer the best return with odds of +225. For those favoring the safe bet on Fakhretdinov, Caesars and DraftKings offer consistent and reliable odds at -270. FanDuel and BetRivers provide slightly better odds at -265, making them attractive for those looking to bet on the Russian favorite.

Betting Odds History

An interesting way to gauge where the money is moving is by looking at the odds history. For instance, Bovada adjusted their odds multiple times, starting from -240 for Fakhretdinov and moving up to -260. DraftKings and FanDuel have also shown similar fluctuations, adjusting based on betting action and market perceptions.

Sportsbooks like Bovada and DraftKings are updating odds frequently, reflecting a keen awareness of the betting market and possibly indicating significant betting action on both fighters. BetOnline.ag and LowVig.ag have shown more drastic changes, especially for Dalby, moving from +210 to +225, making it essential for bettors to keep an eye on these platforms for potential value bets.

Payout Calculations

Let's talk numbers. If you were to place a $1000 bet on either fighter, here’s what your payout would look like:

  • Rinat Fakhretdinov: With odds around -270, a $1000 bet would yield approximately $1370 return, providing a profit of $370.
  • Nicolas Dalby: With odds around +225, a $1000 bet would yield approximately $3250 return, offering a profit of $2250.

These potential payouts elucidate the inherent risk and reward associated with each fighter. Betting on Fakhretdinov is considered safer, with less payout, while wagering on Dalby could lead to a substantial profit if the underdog pulls through.

Probability Based on Current Odds

While not diving deep into the math, here’s a simple translation of what the odds imply about each fighter's chances:

  • Fakhretdinov: The odds imply that he has around a 73% chance of winning this fight.
  • Dalby: The odds suggest a 31% chance for the Danish veteran to secure an upset victory.

Conclusion

The betting odds for Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Nicolas Dalby present a classic scenario of favorite versus underdog, with ample opportunities for strategic wagers. Whether you favor the precision and aggressive style of Fakhretdinov or the resilience and experience of Dalby, understanding these odds can heighten your excitement and potentially lead to a profitable night. Always remember to make informed bets, keep an eye on the odds movements, and choose the right sportsbook to maximize your returns. Happy betting!

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez