UFC 318 Betting Guide: Holloway vs Poirier 3 Insights

UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 - Introduction

On July 20, 2025, the octagon will erupt at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana, as two of the featherweight division's most talented fighters, Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier, collide for a highly anticipated trilogy bout. This matchup marks a pivotal moment, as both fighters look to solidify their legacies with a decisive win, following their previous encounters that ended in thrilling fashion.

With Holloway currently ranked #5 and Poirier holding down the #6 spot in the lightweight division, fans can expect nothing less than an action-packed fight that showcases striking prowess and heart. The current betting odds put Holloway as a slight favorite, with odds around -130 to -135, while Poirier comes in at +100 to +115, reflecting the close nature of this rivalry.

Both fighters have a storied history, with Holloway boasting an impressive record of 26-8-0 and an average fight time of 16:05, while Poirier holds a record of 30-9-0 with 30% of his wins coming from knockouts. Both have faced elite competition, ensuring that this third encounter will be a crucial chapter in their respective careers. As they both aim for a title shot, anticipation builds for what promises to be a fascinating clash of styles and strategies.

Live odds

All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Poirier 3 can be found on the Holloway vs Poirier 3 event page.

UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 - Betting Guide

As fight night approaches for the highly anticipated trilogy between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier, understanding the landscape of bets available will be crucial for bettors looking to make informed decisions. This event not only features the main event but also a robust undercard, showcasing various matchups that fans and bettors should consider.

Main Event Analysis: Holloway vs Poirier

Betting Odds Overview

As of now, Max Holloway is favored with odds ranging between -130 and -135, whereas Dustin Poirier sits as the underdog with odds between +100 and +115. The close nature of these odds indicates an evenly matched fight, as both fighters have proven track records against elite opponents.

Holloway's Strengths: Holloway, known for his exceptional striking accuracy and volume, comes into this fight with an impressive significant strike accuracy of 48%. His ability to maintain pressure and his proven durability make him a formidable opponent. With a notable comeback from a recent loss against Ilia Topuria, Holloway is eager to reclaim his position as a title contender.

Poirier's Edge: On the other hand, Poirier has a track record of knockout power with 16 KOs in his career. His ability to finish fights is underscored by his average fight time of 10:17, suggesting he prefers to engage aggressively rather than allowing fights to drag on.

Line Movement Trends

Recent line movements have shown a dynamic shift reflecting public sentiment and expert opinions. Initially, Holloway opened as a larger favorite, but as the fight date approaches, his odds have tightened. This movement can be attributed to Poirier’s compelling performances in previous fights and fan expectations regarding his ability to capitalize on Holloway's weaknesses, particularly early in the fight.

Key Considerations for Betting

• Injuries and Training Camps: Ahead of any wagering, bettors should look into the fighters' health, training camp conditions, and any reported injuries. Holloway's recent losses may raise questions about his resilience. However, his training under the well-respected Hawaiian fight scene continues to impress. Overall, his ability to bounce back will be key in this bout.

• Fight IQ and Strategy: While Holloway thrives in prolonged striking exchanges, Poirier's knockout threats complicate the scenario. Bettors might consider Poirier for their underdog bets due to his ability to deliver explosive punches, especially if he can counter Holloway’s movement.

• Prop Bets: Bettors seeking value may explore prop bets such as “Fight to go the distance” or “Total Rounds.” Given both fighters' durability, backing the fight to go to decision might present a potential avenue for profit.

Supporting Fights on the Card

In addition to the main event, the undercard provides a wealth of betting opportunities:

Preliminary Matchups

1. Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov

Current Odds: Dulatov - -600, Fugitt + 375

The odds suggest a significant discrepancy, with Dulatov coming in as a strong favorite. With an undefeated record on the line, he boasts a striking accuracy of 57% and a high takedown accuracy of 100%. Bettors should consider Dulatov for a heavier wager, while Fugitt may present a valuable longshot.

2. Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen

Current Odds: Allen - +150, Vettori - -170

This matchup is expected to be tightly contested. Vettori’s strength lies in his grappling game, while Allen carries significant submission experience, boasting 14 submissions in his career.

Mixed Odds Scenarios

3. Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira

With Phillips favored at -145 and Oliveira at +144, bettors will need to weigh Phillips’ striking outputs against Oliveira’s grappling skills. The matchup offers tight odds, reflecting the competitiveness of this bout.

Avoiding Bad Bets

Fighters to Stay Away From

Michael Johnson (Current Odds: +300 to +400)

With inconsistent performances and a recent record of losses, betting on Johnson may not be prudent. His struggles against younger, aggressive fighters make him a good candidate for an outright bet against.

Daniel Rodriguez (Current Odds: +285 to +340)

Rodriguez may have good odds, but recent losses show his vulnerability against top contenders, lightening any draw of betting on him.

Conclusion

The Holloway vs Poirier 3 fight at UFC 318 provides a thrilling atmosphere for spectators and a diverse array of betting opportunities for gamblers. As you analyze these matchups, consider various elements like fighters’ forms, historical performances against one another, and potential line movements leading up to the event. Be sure to keep a close eye on any news or interviews emerging from training camps that may influence your final betting decisions. Whether you're going for favorites like Holloway or looking for value with underdogs like Poirier, ensuring the best approach will maximize potential returns. Happy betting!

UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 - Conclusion

As we gear up for UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3, it’s essential to finalize your betting strategies and identify key fighters to place your bets on. Max Holloway remains a solid betting option, especially if his odds hover around -130. His ability to endure and maintain striking volume could be pivotal in this bout. Likewise, Dustin Poirier, coming in as the underdog, may be worth a bet due to his knockout power and fighting spirit, especially if his odds remain favorable at +100.

For a compelling parlay, consider combining Islam Dulatov with Max Holloway. This parlay takes advantage of Dulatov's strong performance potential against Adam Fugitt along with Holloway’s striking experience, setting up a robust path for potential returns.

Don’t forget to keep a close watch on live odds leading up to the fight. This will provide you with the latest information on line movements and fluctuating odds, informing your decisions. Visit our event page for real-time updates and additional betting insights: UFC 318 Event Page. Enjoy the fights, and good luck!