Usman vs Buckley > Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley > Fight Analysis

Usman vs Buckley: Odds, Analysis & Betting Tips [2025]

Usman vs Buckley: Odds, Analysis & Betting Tips [2025]

Published

Mon Jun 02 2025

Last Updated

Mon Jun 02 2025

Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley: A Must-Watch UFC Clash in Atlanta

Attention fight fans and savvy sports bettors! The annals of UFC combat have witnessed numerous legendary matchups, but few come with the juice that this bout between Kamaru Usman and Joaquin Buckley promises. Set to unfold on June 14th, 2025, at the iconic State Farm Arena in Atlanta, this collision at UFC Fight Night is already buzzing in the combat sports community.

The clash is part of the eagerly awaited Welterweight Main Card, and it harbors the potential for fireworks. Stemming from different fight schools, these two warriors bring an arsenal of skills and a hunger for victory to the Octagon. This is a non-title bout, but don't let that fool you into thinking there's nothing at stake. Both fighters are determined to climb up the welterweight ladder, and each victory is a stepping stone towards a title shot.

Kamaru Usman, the seasoned warrior nicknamed the "Nigerian Nightmare," hails from Auchi, Nigeria. Usman, a former welterweight champion, is currently ranked #5 and is determined to prove that he's still at the pinnacle of the division. Despite facing some recent setbacks, Usman, with a record of 20 wins and 4 losses, is eager to reestablish his formidable presence inside the Octagon. Having lost against top-tier opponents like Leon Edwards and Khamzat Chimaev, he has the experience and grit to tackle high-caliber adversaries. Known for his wrestling prowess and strategic fight game, Usman aims to utilize his 90% Takedown Defense to negate Buckley's striking threats.

On the other side of the cage is Joaquin Buckley, a force to be reckoned with in his own right. Sporting a vibrant fighting style and ranked as #7, Buckley has captivated fans with his knockout power. With a current record of 21 wins, 6 losses, Buckley is no stranger to highlight-reel finishes, boasting 15 knockouts to his name. His recent success over renowned fighters like Vicente Luque and Stephen Thompson underscores his potential to shine under the bright UFC lights. Buckley's remarkable 74% Takedown Defense and a solid 37% Significant Strike Accuracy could serve as key elements in outmaneuvering Usman's game plan.

As for the betting landscape, odds have fluctuated, reflecting the expectations and hesitations prevailing in both fighter camps. Buckley enters as the favorite, with American odds averaging around -265 across various bookmakers like Caesars, BetRivers, and FanDuel. Usman, not to be outdone, garners interest as the underdog with odds ranging between +200 and +230, tempting bettors who bank on an upset with a bit more payout potential.

Crucially timed at 3:00 AM UTC, this Saturday showdown is more than just a fight; it's an opportunity for bettors searching for those golden UFC betting tips and enthusiasts seeking an electrifying night of mixed martial arts. The showdown promises an exhilarating mix of striking, takedowns, and possibly, tactical warfare that will have the world watching—and wagering. Stay locked in, whether you're setting your bets or just riding the waves of suspense and strategy that make UFC matchups like this an unmissable spectacle.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.

Fighter Profiles: The Nigerian Nightmare and New School Striker

As we gear up for this memorable clash at UFC Fight Night in Atlanta, it's crucial for fans and bettors alike to get acquainted with the formidable combatants stepping into the Octagon. Let's dive into the profiles of Kamaru Usman and Joaquin Buckley, unveiling their backgrounds, recent form, and critical strengths and vulnerabilities.

Kamaru Usman: The Veteran Warrior

Standing at 6 feet tall with an arm reach of 76 inches, Kamaru Usman is a freestyle fighter hailing from Auchi, Nigeria. At the seasoned age of 37, Usman’s journey through the UFC has been marked by his former reign as the welterweight champion. Now ranked #5 in the division, Usman brings a wealth of experience and a respectable record of 20 wins and 4 losses to this upcoming clash.

Recent Form

In recent battles, Usman faced a series of challenges against top contenders that took fans by surprise. His last three outings depict a streak of losses against high-caliber opponents:

  • Khamzat Chimaev: A majority decision loss in October 2023 that demonstrated Usman's capability to withstand Chimaev's relentless pace.
  • Leon Edwards: Suffered two back-to-back defeats, a majority decision loss in March 2023 and a KO/TKO punch in August 2022. These marked significant moments as Edwards showcased precision striking that penetrated Usman's usually-impenetrable defense.

Despite these setbacks, Usman's career stats stand strong, revealing strengths that could play a critical role. With 52% Significant Strike Accuracy and an impressive 90% Takedown Defense, Usman is noted for his ability to manage incoming threats and capitalize on opponent weaknesses.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths: Usman's wrestling base is legendary, allowing him to dominate fights through control and strategic takedowns. His defensive capabilities, especially his Takedown Defense, ensure that he stays on his feet, leveraging his striking accuracy effectively.

Weaknesses: However, as age progresses, questions arise surrounding Usman's cardio against younger, faster-paced fighters. Additionally, recent losses suggest possible vulnerabilities against high-output strikers who can keep him at bay.

Joaquin Buckley: The Knockout Artist

Just across the cage, we have the electrifying Joaquin Buckley. At 30 years old, this American fighter from the United States is establishing himself as a dynamic presence in the welterweight division. Buckley, ranked #7, possesses a versatile fighting style that focuses on striking, which is evident from his 15 knockouts out of 21 victories.

Recent Form

Buckley's last five fights illustrate a powerful resurgence in his career:

  • Colby Covington: Although he lost in December 2024, the fight demonstrated his ability to go toe-to-toe against grappling-centric opponents.
  • Wins over Stephen Thompson and Vicente Luque via KO/TKO highlight his finishing prowess.
  • Victories against Nursulton Ruziboev and Alex Morono further solidified his position in the top 10, showcasing poise over the full distance through unanimous decisions.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Strengths: Buckley's striking capabilities remain his primary weapon. With a knack for exploiting openings, his 37% Significant Strike Accuracy combined with 74% Takedown Defense indicate a well-rounded ability to maintain control against aggressors.

Weaknesses: While Buckley wields immense power, his Takedown Accuracy lags slightly, posing a potential challenge if Usman aims to grapple and strain the younger fighter’s endurance across rounds.

In a tale of seasoned experience versus youthful vigor, Usman and Buckley present a fascinating contrast, each loaded with unique tools to shift the fight's trajectory. As we approach this June 14th showdown, identifying how these strengths and weaknesses play out could deliver insightful UFC betting tips for fans and bettors eager to engage with this explosive encounter.

Decoding the Odds: Betting Insights for Usman vs. Buckley

When it comes to wagering on UFC showdowns, understanding the betting odds can provide an edge. Let's break down the odds for the Kamaru Usman vs. Joaquin Buckley fight, helping you leverage the best UFC betting tips for this exhilarating matchup.

Current Betting Odds

As fight night approaches, Joaquin Buckley enters as the favorite, with his betting odds across popular sportsbooks consolidating around the -265 to -275 range. Interestingly, despite Buckley’s slight edge in the rankings and recent form, Kamaru Usman is seen as a formidable underdog with odds ranging from +200 to +230. These odds indicate that while Buckley is more favored to win, Usman possesses enough threat to warrant some serious consideration, especially with his championship pedigree.

Best Sportsbook Options

If you're looking to place a bet, checking different sportsbooks is key since each offers unique spreads:

  • Caesars: Sharp on odds movement, currently listing Buckley at -265 and Usman at +215.
  • BetRivers: Competitive with odds for Buckley at -275 and Usman at +210.
  • BetOnline.ag: Known for its consistent updates, they've listed Buckley at -270 and Usman at +230.
  • FanDuel: Offers favorable odds with Buckley at -265 and Usman at +200.

Among these, BetOnline.ag has shown a flexible approach to odds, making notable adjustments throughout the buildup—raising Usman’s odds sharply, which reflects changing perceptions or perhaps hedging against informed bets coming in late. This responsiveness can be particularly advantageous if you're seeking timely updates that play to market dynamics.

Payout Possibilities

For the enthusiastic bettor ready to lay down $1,000, your choicedirections could yield intriguing returns:

  • Betting on Joaquin Buckley: At most sportsbooks, a $1,000 bet on Buckley could fetch you around $1,364.80 in total payout (including your stake). A solid return given his current odds as a frontrunner.

  • Betting on Kamaru Usman: Opt for the underdog edge, and a winning $1,000 bet on Usman at his highest odds, +230 on BetOnline.ag, could bring you $3,300 in total payout (including your stake). A tantalizing reward for those who believe Usman's resilience will outlast Buckley's striking acumen.

Probability Insights

Odds never solely determine fight outcomes, but they offer an implied probability that provides insight into betting sentiment. Buckley's favored odds suggest a high probability of 72-73%, indicating strong confidence in his victory. Conversely, Usman’s underdog status reflects a lower probability between 30-33%, yet this is significant enough to entice those valuing his experience and tactical know-how.

Final Takeaways

Overall, understanding odds helps underscore where public sentiment and expert assumptions align. Betting isn't just about identifying winners; it's also about deeply assessing underdogs with potential to tip the scales. Engaging with a variety of sportsbooks and their odds evolutions ensures you’re well-armed to make strategic choices that can lead to fetching payouts. Whichever path you choose, brace yourself for an explosive encounter, ready to transform insights and odds into rewarding UFC betting outcomes.

AI Pick: Joaquin Buckley

Click the buttons below to read more about why the AI picked Joaquin Buckley, or see all the AI picks for Usman vs Buckley. Our AI is trained on our fight data and picks winners for every fight. You can track all the picks, accuracy, and profit for free on our ai-picks page.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez

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