Jhonata Diniz vs Justin Tafa - AI generated fight pick

Jhonata Diniz has several measurable advantages in this heavyweight matchup. He is two inches taller, has a 5.5-inch reach advantage, and a slight leg reach edge, all of which are historically significant in heavyweight striking matchups. Both fighters are primarily strikers with a high knockout rate (7 KOs each), but Diniz has a more diverse kickboxing background and a higher percentage of first-round finishes (6 of 8 wins). Statistically, Diniz has a slightly better significant strike defense (50% vs 47%) and much better takedown defense (69% vs 53%), which is important even if neither attempts takedowns. Tafa has struggled against larger, rangier strikers and is coming off two consecutive losses, including a recent KO. Historically, fighters in the UFC heavyweight division with Diniz's height, reach, and kickboxing style have a higher win rate over shorter, less defensively sound power punchers like Tafa, especially when the taller fighter also has a reach advantage. Diniz's durability and technical edge give him the nod, but the risk of a Tafa KO keeps the confidence below 70.