Winner: Viviane Araujo
Confidence Score: 62Viviane Araujo holds notable advantages in both experience and physical attributes that are relevant in this matchup. She has a significant edge in arm reach (68" vs 65.5"), which should help her control range and striking exchanges. Araujo also boasts a much higher takedown defense (80% vs 62%), which is key against Cortez, who often utilizes her wrestling. Both fighters are very similar in striking accuracy (48%) and defense (57%), but Araujo's higher finishing rate (7 finishes in 13 wins vs Cortez's 2 in 11) and proven ability to defend takedowns against elite opposition make her more likely to dictate where the fight takes place. While Cortez is younger and has momentum, Araujo's experience against top-10 flyweights and her physical tools give her a slight edge in a likely competitive decision.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Topuria vs Oliveira can be found on the Topuria vs Oliveira event page.