Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov Odds & AI Pick

Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov Fight Analysis

Introduction

On Saturday, July 19, 2025, fight fans will be treated to an action-packed early preliminary bout at UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3, live from the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana. Kicking off around 7:15 PM local time (10:15 PM ET), the welterweight division collision between Islam Dulatov and Adam Fugitt promises an intriguing clash of styles, experience and momentum as both athletes look to make a statement on the stacked card.

In the blue corner, Germany’s own Islam Dulatov (1–0–0) enters the Octagon as the heavy favorite, with opening odds around –550 (American) across major sportsbooks. Despite being a UFC newcomer, Dulatov has impressed with a polished striking arsenal—boasting a 57% significant strike accuracy and 100% takedown success rate—and a willingness to engage. His lone UFC outing demonstrated a crisp offensive skillset and an aggressive pace that overwhelmed his opponent early. Now aged just 26, the Russian-born phenom looks to continue his ascent in the welterweight ranks by dispatching a seasoned contender.

Standing across from him in the red corner is Adam Fugitt (10–4–0), a 34-year-old veteran with a well-rounded resume—4 knockout wins, 3 submissions, and a knack for late-round comebacks. A relative underdog at +350, Fugitt brings significant experience under the UFC banner, including a recent split-decision victory over Josh Quinlan and notable battles against top prospects. His 46% striking accuracy and 50% takedown defense reflect a gritty, durable fighter capable of weathering early storms and pushing a pace over three full rounds.

Why This Fight Matters

• Momentum vs. Experience
  Dulatov’s rapid rise and undefeated UFC record set the stage for a breakout performance, while Fugitt’s veteran savvy and diverse finishing ability make him a dangerous foe.

• Stylistic Contrast
  Dulatov excels in high-volume striking and flawless wrestling entries, whereas Fugitt favors power punches, clinch work and opportunistic grappling transitions.

• Playoff Implications
  A win for Dulatov could vault him into the upper tier of the welterweight division, whereas Fugitt seeks to reestablish himself after mixed results and prove that experience still trumps youth.

In this welterweight showcase, bettors and fans alike will have to decide if Dulatov’s overwhelming favorite status is justified against Fugitt’s proven resilience and finishing pedigree. As the opening fights heat up the evening, all eyes will be on this compelling matchup to set the tone for an unforgettable night at UFC 318.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Holloway vs Poirier 3 can be found on the Holloway vs Poirier 3 event page.

Matchup & Individual Profiles

Islam Dulatov Profile

• Age: 26
• Country: Germany (born in Russia)
• Fighting Style: Well-rounded striker with wrestling pedigree
• UFC Record: 1–0–0
• UFC Debut: July 19, 2025

Islam Dulatov burst onto the UFC scene with a dominant debut, showcasing crisp boxing combinations, leg kicks and seamless wrestling entries. Despite limited Octagon seasoning, his 57% significant strike accuracy and 100% takedown success rate underline a fighter comfortable both on the feet and in grappling exchanges. At just 26 years old, Dulatov combines the athleticism of youth with a clear technical foundation, making him a heavy favorite in his second UFC outing.

Adam Fugitt Profile

• Age: 34
• Country: United States
• Fighting Style: Freestyle—mixes power striking with opportunistic grappling
• UFC Record: 10–4–0
• UFC Debut: July 30, 2022

Adam Fugitt is a seasoned veteran with 14 UFC appearances under his belt. He blends heavy hands and a sturdy chin with solid wrestling defense, reflected in a 50% takedown defense rate. Though his 46% striking accuracy trails his opponent’s, Fugitt compensates with veteran timing, fight IQ and a diverse finish arsenal: 4 KOs and 3 submissions on his résumé.

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Recent Form

Islam Dulatov (1 UFC fight)

• UFC Debut (Jul. 19, 2025): Win – displayed well-timed takedowns, heavy leg kicks, early control

Note: Dulatov’s regional track record before joining the UFC boasted several quick finishes, but this will be his true high-level litmus test.

Adam Fugitt (Last 4 UFC fights)

1. Jun. 15, 2024 – Win (Split Decision) vs. Josh Quinlan
2. Jun. 10, 2023 – Loss (Submission) vs. Mike Malott
3. Feb. 05, 2023 – Win (KO/TKO) vs. Yusaku Kinoshita
4. Jul. 30, 2022 – Loss (KO/TKO) vs. Michael Morales

Fugitt has alternated between impressive finishes and tough setbacks, but his ability to grind out decisions and remain dangerous in all phases has kept him relevant in the division.

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Strengths & Weaknesses

Islam Dulatov

Strengths:

• Striking Efficiency: 57% connection rate puts constant pressure on foes.
• Takedown Prowess: Perfect 100% success rate shows elite wrestling entries.
• Youth & Gas Tank: Average fight time of 2:44 suggests he starts hot and pushes a frenetic pace.

Weaknesses:

• Limited UFC Experience: One bout leaves holes in situational savvy (e.g., late-fight adjustments).
• Finishing Power: No UFC KOs or submissions yet; may struggle to close against seasoned adversaries.
• Defense Vulnerabilities: 0% takedown defense statistic (albeit no attempts faced) hints at potential lapses if pressured.

Adam Fugitt

Strengths:

• Versatile Finish Game: 4 KO wins and 3 submissions indicate well-rounded threat.
• Durability & Experience: 14 UFC fights, proven chin and late-round resilience.
• Grappling Defense: 50% takedown defense rate can neutralize early wrestling onslaughts.

Weaknesses:

• Striking Accuracy: 46% landing rate means he must fire volumes to make an impact.
• Takedown Offense: 29% success suggests difficulty imposing his will on elite wrestlers.
• Age & Pace: At 34, his average fight time of 9:13 hints at slower starts and possible cardio fade against a younger, high-output opponent.

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This stylistic and experiential contrast—youthful explosiveness versus veteran guile—sets the stage for a compelling tactical battle. Who will impose their game plan? Dulatov’s precision and wrestling or Fugitt’s grit and finishing creativity?

Odds & Betting Trends

Current Betting Odds

• Islam Dulatov:

  • FanDuel: –520
  • BetOnline.ag: –550
  • DraftKings: –550
  • BetRivers: –560

• Adam Fugitt:

  • FanDuel: +350
  • BetOnline.ag: +400
  • DraftKings: +410
  • BetRivers: +390

Islam Dulatov is the overwhelming favorite across the board, trading around –550 on average, while Adam Fugitt is the clear underdog near +380–+410. If you’re backing the upset, DraftKings currently offers the juiciest price on Fugitt at +410, meaning a $1,000 bet would return approximately $5,100 (stake + profit). On the flip side, FanDuel presents the most attractive price on Dulatov at –520, so a $1,000 wager would yield about $1,192.

Line Movement & Historical Swings

• Islam Dulatov:

  • Opened at roughly –460 on July 6 (FanDuel) before moving to –520.
  • DraftKings saw a brief dip to –580 on June 24, then settled back at –550.
  • BetRivers started at –500 on June 24 and drifted to –560.
  • Overall swing of about 120 points on some books signals strong backing of Dulatov and bookmakers adjusting juice accordingly.

• Adam Fugitt:

  • FanDuel’s line shifted from +320 on July 6 to +350 as the fight approached.
  • DraftKings opened at +410, slid to +380, then returned to +410 by July 7.
  • BetRivers set Fugitt at +350 on June 24 and nudged it to +390.
  • These fluctuations suggest occasional sharp support for the veteran, but Dulatov has remained dominant in the market.

Best Sportsbook to Bet

• For the Underdog (Fugitt): DraftKings at +410
• For the Favorite (Dulatov): FanDuel at –520

DraftKings’ +410 stands out for anyone seeking maximum upside on Adam Fugitt, while FanDuel’s -520 offers the least vig if you’re confident in Islam Dulatov’s dominance.

Potential Payouts & Implied Chances

• Bet $1,000 on Islam Dulatov (–520): Return ≈ $1,192
• Bet $1,000 on Adam Fugitt (+410): Return ≈ $5,100

Based on these lines, Dulatov carries an implied win probability in the mid-80% range, whereas Fugitt sits around 20%. These figures highlight just how steep an uphill climb the veteran faces, despite his experience edge.

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This odds overview shows a market firmly behind Islam Dulatov, with sizable line shifts reinforcing his favorite status. Yet, the occasional uptick in Fugitt’s numbers means bettors are still finding value on the underdog, making for an intriguing financial tug-of-war as fight night approaches.