Usman vs Buckley > Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos > Fight Analysis

Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos UFC Fight Analysis & Odds

Published

Mon Jun 02 2025

Last Updated

Mon Jun 02 2025

Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos: A Bantamweight Clash in Atlanta

Get ready fight fans, as the electrifying bantamweight bout between Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos ignites the stage at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta on June 14, 2025. This high-octane clash promises to be a captivating showdown between two skilled fighters with diverse styles and histories, poised to unleash their prowess in the octagon. As part of the main card for the UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley, this clash will be a pivotal moment for both fighters, with Garbrandt seeking redemption and Barcelos aiming to climb higher in the division.

For sports bettors, this matchup offers a treasure trove of intriguing factors. Cody Garbrandt, the American dynamo, steps into the octagon with the odds stacked at +120 by BetRivers, providing betting enthusiasts an alluring opportunity for those sensing a resurgence in his game. Once the UFC bantamweight champion, Garbrandt brings his freestyle fighting skills into play, backed by a 14-6-0 record. What makes him a thrilling contender is his knockout prowess, with 11 out of his 14 wins coming by way of KO. Despite recent ups and downs, including a submission loss to Deiveson Figueiredo, Garbrandt's fiery performance against Brian Kelleher last December, winning via KO in the first round, underscores his capability to turn the tables on any given night.

On the flip side, Raoni Barcelos presents a true Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu threat, sporting a 19-5-0 record, with the odds favoring him at -150. Trained in the art of submission, Barcelos has proven his mettle in the octagon with 8 wins by knockout and 3 via submission. His exceptional defense statistics, boasting an 82% takedown defense and 60% significant strike defense, render him a formidable hurdle for any opponent. At 37, Barcelos exhibits a wealth of experience and resilience, coming off a recent unanimous decision win over Payton Talbott. This fight is crucial for Barcelos, as a win could catapult him into the conversation among the division's elites.

As the fight night approaches, anticipation swells, painting a vivid picture of an evenly matched contest that could pivot on a single strategic maneuver. Will Garbrandt's knockout power overpower Barcelos' tactical precision, or will Barcelos's submission game find its mark and secure him the victory? The fans are in for a night to remember, with every strike, feint, and takedown holding the potential to shift the fight's momentum decisively.

For those ardently searching for UFC betting tips, and Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos analysis, this encounter is unmissable. The stakes are high, and the potential for drama is boundless as these two warriors meet in Atlanta's bustling arena. Mark your calendars, place your bets wisely, and prepare for a captivating display of martial arts excellence that only UFC action can deliver.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Usman vs Buckley can be found on the Usman vs Buckley event page.

Fighter Profiles and Recent Form: Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos

As the dust settles from introductions, it's time to take a closer look at the fighters themselves — Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos. With their unique backgrounds, fighting styles, and recent forms, these two bantamweight warriors offer plenty to discuss for fans and bettors seeking a detailed analysis of this intriguing UFC matchup.

Cody Garbrandt: The Comeback Kid

Cody "No Love" Garbrandt, hailing from Uhrichsville, United States, embodies a robust freestyle fighting style that leverages both rapid strikes and agile movements. At 33 years old, Garbrandt has a decade of UFC experience, having made his debut back on January 3, 2015. With an imposing 14-6-0 record, he’s known for his aggressive knockout-seeking approach, boasting 11 knockout wins. His height of 68 inches, paired with a 65.5-inch arm reach, makes him a formidable threat in stand-up battles.

However, recent performances highlight both his combat aptitude and areas for improvement. His last three outings have been a mixed bag — a submission loss to Deiveson Figueiredo, a first-round KO win against Brian Kelleher, and a decision victory over Trevin Jones. While these bouts showcase Garbrandt's devastating KO power (evident in his 41% significant strike accuracy and 8 first-round finishes), they also underscore vulnerabilities in ground defense, as seen in the fight against Figueiredo.

Raoni Barcelos: The Brazilian Technician

Raoni Barcelos, fighting out of the sunny State of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, brings a masterful Jiu-Jitsu style that encapsulates his strategic precision and tactical excellence. At 37, Barcelos carries an impressive 19-5-0 record since his UFC debut on July 14, 2018. Although his appearances in the octagon have varied, Barcelos's prowess in submissions and comprehensive defense has been consistent. Standing 67.5 inches tall, with a reach of 67 inches, he combines his size with effective takedown and submission skills.

Assessing his recent form, Barcelos has rebounded from setbacks with tenacity. Despite facing a unanimous decision loss to Kyler Phillips and a KO/TKO defeat against Umar Nurmagomedov, he has regrouped with confidence, executing a unanimous decision win over Payton Talbott and a third-round submission victory against Cristian Quiñonez. His strengths lie in his 60% significant strike defense and an impressive 82% takedown defense, often rendering his opponents' physical advances ineffective.

Strengths and Weaknesses Analysis

Garbrandt’s strengths are clearly visible in his knockout capability and quick strikes, which could be pivotal if he capitalizes on Barcelos's slower response pace. However, his vulnerabilities appear when confronted with adept submission professionals, making his takedown defense crucial. On the flip side, Barcelos excels in defense and submission prowess. His high takedown defense percentage could neutralize Garbrandt's offense, shifting the fight to a grappling battle where Barcelos thrives.

For those delving into UFC betting discussions or craving a comprehensive Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos analysis, understanding each fighter’s history, strengths, and weaknesses is paramount. As we await this tumultuous battle, strategic nuances could well determine the victor, making this bout an unmissable fixture in the UFC calendar.

Betting Odds and History: Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos

Alright folks, let's dive into the juicy world of UFC betting odds for the much-anticipated fight between Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos. For anyone invested in UFC betting tips or looking to make informed wagers, understanding the odds and their historical shifts is crucial to strategizing and making the most out of that betting slip.

Current Odds and Betting Landscape

As it stands, Raoni Barcelos is the favored contender in this matchup, with odds set at -150 according to BetRivers, while fellow sportsbook BetOnline.ag also tags him with the same odds. This positions him as the more likely victor, at least by the bookmaker's assessment. On the other hand, Cody Garbrandt enters the octagon as the underdog; BetRivers offers him at +120, with BetOnline slightly more generous, listing him at +130. This difference can be a game-changer for punters looking to maximize potential returns on Garbrandt’s innate power and experience.

For those leaning towards Barcelos, a $1000 wager would yield approximately a $666.67 profit if he clinches the win. Meanwhile, betting the same amount on Garbrandt with BetOnline.ag could unlock a potential payout of $2300 – a tempting prospect for any risk-tolerant bettor peeking at Garbrandt's knockout abilities.

Best Sportsbook to Bet On

When it comes to selecting where to place your bet, historical odds fluctuation can be a deciding factor. BetOnline.ag showcases a more dynamic odds history, demonstrating a range of adjustments from -130 to -165 for Barcelos, indicating their sensitivity to market swings and fighter conditions. For Garbrandt, BetOnline.ag's more varied range from +110 to +145 suggests an adaptive approach, potentially offering better windows to capture favorable odds.

BetRivers, in contrast, maintains a steady line of odds consistency, useful for those who prefer a more straightforward betting experience without worrying about fluctuating probabilities. Both sportsbooks, however, provide valuable opportunities based on one's betting strategy — stability versus variability.

Probability Insights

Digging into the probabilities — Barcelos’s odds at -150 imply a 60% chance of winning, signaling the bookmakers’ confidence in his defensive prowess and technical game. Garbrandt at +130 reflects a 43.48% implied probability, accounting for his aggressive fighting style and potential for an explosive upset.

Analyzing these figures offers insights into potential betting value. Despite Barcelos being the favorite, Garbrandt’s "underdog" status combined with his track record of powerful finishes presents an enticing prospect for those banking on an unexpected twist in the octagon.

To sum it up, the betting scene for Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos is rich with opportunities for skilled bettors and UFC fanatics. Whether you lean towards logic with a Barcelos bet or roll the dice on Garbrandt's explosive returns, choosing the right sportsbook and understanding odds history is crucial for making a profitable decision. As the octagon beckons, may the odds be ever in your favor!

AI Pick: Raoni Barcelos

Click the buttons below to read more about why the AI picked Raoni Barcelos, or see all the AI picks for Usman vs Buckley. Our AI is trained on our fight data and picks winners for every fight. You can track all the picks, accuracy, and profit for free on our ai-picks page.

Written byJackson 'The Sharp' Martinez