Winner: Jake Matthews
Confidence Score: 65Jake Matthews is the more well-rounded fighter with a significant edge in grappling and overall UFC experience. Matthews has a much higher takedown accuracy (41% vs. 0%) and a proven submission game (7 submission wins vs. only 1 for Njokuani). While Chidi Njokuani has a notable reach advantage (80" vs. 73") and more knockout power, Matthews' superior takedown and submission skills have historically been effective against strikers with limited ground games. Matthews also has a better significant strike defense (61% vs. 57%) and is six years younger, which is notable given the drop-off in win rate for fighters over 35 in the welterweight division. Njokuani's recent wins have come against lower-ranked opponents, and his losses have come when pressured by grapplers. Historically, fighters with Matthews' profile (age, grappling edge, and UFC experience) win these matchups more often than not.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.