Winner: Calvin Kattar
Confidence Score: 71Calvin Kattar holds significant advantages in experience, durability, and strength of schedule at featherweight. Kattar has faced and been competitive with elite contenders, demonstrating high-level striking, volume, and excellent cardio over five-round fights. He boasts a strong significant strike defense (54%) and a proven ability to go deep into fights (avg. fight time 14:46). While Steve Garcia is a dangerous, fast starter with a high knockout rate and better recent finishing form, his competition level has been lower, and his striking defense (46%) is a liability against technical boxers like Kattar. Garcia's reach and youth are notable, but historically, fighters with Kattar's profile (durable, technical, high-level experience, and solid defense) have a winning record against aggressive finishers who have not faced top-15 opposition. Kattar's edge in five-round experience, durability, and technical striking makes him the most probable winner, though Garcia's power and finishing ability keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.