Winner: Vitor Petrino
Confidence Score: 78Vitor Petrino is the more dynamic, well-rounded, and durable fighter in this matchup. He is 10 years younger than Austen Lane, which is a significant advantage in heavyweight MMA, where younger athletes have a much higher win percentage against older, more shopworn opponents. Petrino's striking is crisp and powerful, with a 45% significant strike accuracy and better defense (47%) than Lane (41%). Critically, Petrino's grappling is a major edge: he boasts a 57% takedown accuracy and 71% takedown defense, compared to Lane's 29% accuracy and 50% defense. Lane has shown vulnerability to knockout losses (3 KO/TKO losses in last 5), and Petrino's durability and finishing ability (4 first-round finishes, 7 KOs) make him a strong favorite. Additionally, heavyweights moving up from light heavyweight (Petrino's original division) with athleticism and youth have a strong historic win rate over older, less mobile heavyweights like Lane. Recent form, age, and stylistic advantages all point to Petrino as the likely winner.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Vitor Petrino vs Austen Lane can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.