Winner: Chris Curtis
Confidence Score: 58Chris Curtis is likely to edge out Max Griffin due to his superior striking accuracy (52% vs 49%) and notably higher takedown defense (83% vs 70%), making it difficult for Griffin to impose his wrestling. Curtis has a longer reach and is slightly younger, which are historically relevant factors in similar welterweight matchups. Both fighters have recent losses, but Curtis has been consistently competitive against higher-level opposition. Max Griffin's takedown accuracy is a threat, but Curtis's defense and ability to keep the fight standing, combined with his higher output and efficiency, give him a slight edge. Historically, fighters with Curtis's profile (reach, defense, and recent form) have a small but consistent advantage in similar UFC welterweight matchups.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Max Griffin vs Chris Curtis can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.