Winner: Fatima Kline
Confidence Score: 72Fatima Kline is likely to win due to several key advantages in this stylistic matchup. She is a grappler with a 100% takedown accuracy and 50% takedown defense, while Melissa Martinez has only a 25% takedown defense and has struggled against opponents with strong grappling backgrounds. Kline also has a 4-inch height, 1-inch arm reach, and 1-inch leg reach advantage, which will help her control distance and leverage grappling exchanges. While Martinez is a proven striker with a higher knockout rate, her inability to stop takedowns and lack of submission wins make her vulnerable to Kline's skillset. Historically, fighters with Kline's grappling style and physical advantages have outperformed pure strikers with poor takedown defense in the women's strawweight division. Kline is also younger (24 vs. 27), which typically correlates with better athletic upside and improvement potential. The main risk is Kline's limited UFC experience, but the matchup data and style edge give her a clear path to victory.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Fatima Kline vs Melissa Martinez can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.