Winner: Eduarda Moura
Confidence Score: 78Eduarda Moura is a surging prospect with a strong finishing rate (7 first-round finishes in 12 fights), high submission threat (5 wins by submission), and a well-rounded Jiu-Jitsu base. She is in her athletic prime at age 30, while Lauren Murphy is 39 and has shown recent signs of decline against top competition. Moura's significant strike accuracy (50%) and perfect takedown defense (100%) indicate she can dictate where the fight takes place. While Murphy is very tough, she absorbs more damage due to a lower striking accuracy (39%) and has struggled with younger, aggressive grapplers in recent years. Historically, younger fighters with high finishing rates and strong grappling have a high win percentage against aging, volume-based veterans in the women's flyweight division. Moura's ability to finish early or control on the mat gives her a clear edge over the more durable but less dynamic Murphy.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Lauren Murphy vs Eduarda Moura can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.