Winner: Payton Talbott
Confidence Score: 68Payton Talbott holds a significant edge in striking with a 56% significant strike accuracy and a high finish rate (7 KOs in 9 wins), compared to Felipe Lima's 45% accuracy and only 4 KOs in 14 wins. Talbott also has a longer reach (arm: 70.5" vs 68", leg: 40" vs 38"), which is historically a strong predictor of success in bantamweight matchups, especially among fighters under 28. While Lima is a dangerous and defensively sound striker (73% sig strike defense, 83% takedown defense), Talbott's offensive volume, reach, and power have overwhelmed similar opponents. Both fighters are on winning streaks, but Talbott's more aggressive style and proven finishing ability give him a slight edge in a fight likely to be contested mostly on the feet. However, Lima's durability and defense keep this from being a high-confidence pick.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Payton Talbott vs Felipe Lima can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Topuria vs Oliveira can be found on the Topuria vs Oliveira event page.