UFC 317: Hyder Amil vs Jose Delgado Betting Analysis

Hyder Amil vs Jose Miguel Delgado Fight Breakdown

Welcome fight fans! Up next on the Preliminary Card of UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira, we have a compelling featherweight clash between undefeated rising prospect Hyder Amil and explosive newcomer Jose Miguel Delgado. This bout is scheduled for Sunday, June 29, 2025, live from the iconic T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Early local start times mean you’ll want to tune in as soon as the prelims kick off to catch all the action.

When & Where

• Date: June 29, 2025
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Card Position: Preliminary Card (UFC 317)

The Betting Landscape
Las Vegas oddsmakers have installed Jose Miguel Delgado as the clear favorite across top sportsbooks, with moneyline odds hovering around -175. Delgado’s swift finish rate, boasting 6 first-round stoppages in just 10 pro appearances, and his sharp striking combination make him a bettor’s choice. Conversely, Hyder Amil sits firmly in underdog territory at approximately +145, despite maintaining a perfect 11-0 record. Amil’s unbeaten streak and heavy hands cannot be ignored, but the longer average fight time (over 9½ minutes) suggests Delgado’s power and pace could pose significant problems early.

Why This Fight Matters

1. Rising Star vs. Established Contender

   • Jose Miguel Delgado (9-1-0): Impressive finishing rate (5 KOs, 4 submissions), 75% takedown accuracy, and UFC debut knockout in February 2025.
   • Hyder Amil (11-0-0): Undefeated pro record, heavy-handed striker with 6 stoppages, strong takedown defense (81%), and seasoned veteran at 34 years old.

2. Stylistic Contrast

   • Delgado’s aggressive style and quick finishes could overwhelm Amil before he finds his rhythm.
   • Amil’s durable defense and patient striking arsenal might weather the early storm and capitalize in later rounds.

3. Career Trajectory

   • A win for Delgado propels him into the top-15 conversation in the featherweight division.
   • A victory by Amil keeps his perfect record intact and positions him for a potential marquee matchup on the main card.

As we build toward the full breakdown, this introduction sets the stage for a dynamic showdown. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a savvy bettor, keep your eyes locked on this featherweight tilt—expect fireworks, unexpected twists, and potentially game-changing performances under the bright lights of Las Vegas.
Stay tuned for our in-depth analysis of each fighter’s tools, fight history, and key betting angles to help you make informed picks.

Live odds

Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Hyder Amil vs Jose Miguel Delgado can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Topuria vs Oliveira can be found on the Topuria vs Oliveira event page.

Matchup & Individual Fighter Profiles

In this section, we break down the key background, recent form, and stylistic strengths and weaknesses of Hyder Amil and Jose Miguel Delgado, setting the stage for their featherweight showdown at UFC 317.

Hyder Amil Profile

Age & Origin

• 34 years old, born in Cebu City, Philippines
• Competes out of the Featherweight Division with a pro record of 11-0-0
• UFC debut: Feb. 10, 2024

Fighting Style & Physical Attributes

• Style: MMA-oriented, well-rounded striking and grappling arsenal
• Height: 69 in. (5’9”), Arm Reach: 70 in., Leg Reach: 39 in.
• Averages 09:34 per fight, indicating a patient, pace-controlled approach

Recent Form (Last 3 Fights)

1. Mar. 1, 2025 – Split Decision win over William Gomis (3 rounds)
2. Jul. 20, 2024 – KO/TKO win vs Jeongyeong Lee (R1, 1:05)
3. Feb. 10, 2024 – KO/TKO win vs Fernie Garcia (R2, 2:12)

Strengths

• Precision Striking: 57% significant strike accuracy — one of the best in the division
• Takedown Defense: 81% success at thwarting opponents’ takedowns, making him tough to control on the mat
• Experience & Composure: Mature veteran at 34, comfortable in deep water and five-round pacing

Weaknesses

• Offensive Wrestling: 22% takedown accuracy — struggles to impose his wrestling on elite opponents
• Pace & Early Pressure: Average fight time suggests he can be tested with high-volume pressure early
• Submission Game: Only 1 submission win — not his primary pathway to victory

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Jose Miguel Delgado Profile

Age & Origin

• 27 years old, hailing from Yuma, United States
• Pro record of 9-1-0, UFC debut: Feb. 15, 2025

Fighting Style & Physical Attributes

• Style: Explosive striker with a wrestling foundation — 4 submission wins attest to grappling ability
• Height: 71 in. (5’11”), Arm Reach: 73 in., Leg Reach: 41 in.
• Averages just 04:42 per fight, reflecting his aggressive finish-oriented approach

Recent Form (Last 3-5 Fights)

1. Feb. 15, 2025 – KO/TKO win vs Connor Matthews (R1, 2:58) in UFC debut
2. Previous 3 bouts: Total of 3 first-round finishes (2 KOs, 1 submission) on regional scene
3. Overall Career: 6 first-round stoppages in 10 pro fights; sole loss came via decision

Strengths

• Finishing Ability: 5 KOs and 4 submissions demonstrate versatility and power
• Takedown Offense: 75% accuracy — can effortlessly mix in takedowns to complement striking
• Defensive Striking: 56% significant strike defense keeps him upright against heavy hitters

Weaknesses

• Striking Volume & Accuracy: 47% strike accuracy — may miss on power shots, leaving openings
• Takedown Defense: 67% — vulnerable if pressured by high-level wrestlers or clinch specialists
• Experience at UFC Level: Only one octagon appearance; questions remain on adjustments vs seasoned foes

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Head-to-Head Observations

• Striking vs. Striking: Amil’s superior precision (57% vs. 47%) could outpoint Delgado unless the American lands early power.
• Wrestling Dynamics: Delgado’s takedown prowess (75%) vs Amil’s takedown defense (81%) will be critical—foreshadows potential grappling exchanges.
• Pace & Endurance: Delgado’s rapid-fire finishes contrast with Amil’s measured approach; if Delgado doesn’t find an early stoppage, Amil’s cardio and ring IQ may prevail.

This matchup pits a battle-tested veteran with championship-level discipline against a dynamic young finisher brimming with confidence. Next, we’ll dive deeper into striking metrics, grappling exchanges, and the optimal betting angles to exploit perceived edges in this intriguing featherweight contest.

Betting Odds & Line Movement

In this section, we break down the current betting odds, examine line movement, and calculate potential payouts on a $1,000 wager for Hyder Amil vs Jose Miguel Delgado at UFC 317.

Current Odds Snapshot

| Fighter | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | BetOnline.ag | BetRivers | Caesars | |---------------------------|-----------|------------|----------|--------------|-----------|----------| | Jose Miguel Delgado | –172 | –180 | –170 | –175 | –186 | –180 | | Hyder Amil | +134 | +150 | +140 | +150 | +145 | +150 |

• Favorite: Jose Miguel Delgado (approximately –175 across books)
• Underdog: Hyder Amil (approximately +145 across books)

Best Sportsbooks to Back Each Fighter

• Delgado: BetMGM (–170) offers the juiciest price for a favorite—less juice, better return.
• Amil: DraftKings, BetOnline.ag, and Caesars all sit at +150, giving the highest upside for underdog backers.

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Line Movement Trends

Jose Miguel Delgado

• FanDuel: Opened at –140 (June 20) → –172 on June 24
• DraftKings: From –155 → –180 in four days
• BetRivers: Early line –132 → –186 by June 24
• Insight: Heavy action on Delgado has pushed his odds deeper, signaling public confidence (or sharp interest) in his quick-finishing style.

Hyder Amil

• FanDuel: +110 → +134
• DraftKings: +130 → +150
• BetRivers: +110 → +145
• BetOnline.ag: Remarkably, Amil opened as a small favorite at –135 on June 16, only to shift to +150 by June 24—a swing of nearly 285 points.
• Insight: Line drift on Amil suggests either a surge of money on Delgado or declining faith in Amil’s ability to impose his gameplan.

Key Swing: Amil’s transition from –135 to +150 on BetOnline.ag is the standout move—indicating sharp bettors unloading his line or overwhelming money for Delgado.

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Payouts & Implied Probabilities

If you put down $1,000 on either fighter:

• Betting on Delgado (–175)
  – Total payout: $1,571 (net win $571)
  – Implied win probability: ~63%

• Betting on Amil (+150)
  – Total payout: $2,500 (net win $1,500)
  – Implied win probability: ~40%

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Betting Takeaways

• Delgado’s Line Strength: The favorite’s juice has increased steadily—your best bet is at BetMGM (–170) to minimize the house edge.
• Amil Value Spot: If you believe his veteran savvy and durability can weather Delgado’s early storm, locking in +150 at DraftKings or Caesars makes sense.
• Line Movement Edge: Sharp money on Delgado suggests respect for his finishing upside, but large drifts also create value on the underdog.

Ultimately, Delgado is being installed as a clear favorite with over a 60% implied chance to win, while Amil offers substantial upside for underdog bettors with +150 available. Make sure to shop lines across these key sportsbooks to secure the best possible price before the cage door locks.