Winner: Jacobe Smith
Confidence Score: 74Jacobe Smith is an undefeated prospect with a dominant wrestling base and finishing ability, as evidenced by his 10-0 record and 8 knockouts, most coming in the first round. He boasts an extremely high significant strike accuracy (71%) and an elite takedown accuracy (88%), suggesting he can dictate where the fight takes place. While his takedown defense is untested (0%), his offensive wrestling and finishing rate have prevented opponents from exploiting this. Niko Price, at 35, is a dangerous, experienced finisher but has shown defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in takedown defense (53%) and striking defense (49%), both below Jacobe's averages. Historically, younger, undefeated fighters with Smith’s wrestling and finishing profile have a high win rate against older, battle-worn veterans with declining durability. Price's reach advantage is notable, but Smith's ability to close distance and finish quickly mitigates this. The matchup favors Smith's aggression and wrestling, and recent trends show prospects like him often overwhelm aging veterans early.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Niko Price vs Jacobe Smith can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Topuria vs Oliveira can be found on the Topuria vs Oliveira event page.