Winner: Mike Davis
Confidence Score: 74Mike Davis is the more proven UFC talent, with a longer track record against higher-level opposition. He has a well-rounded skill set, with 7 KOs and 2 submissions, and has shown durability and the ability to win decisions over three rounds. Davis is physically strong for the division, with a slight reach advantage, and has experience going the distance against tough lightweights like Mason Jones and Viacheslav Borshchev. Mitch Ramirez, while dangerous early with 6 first-round finishes and solid striking accuracy (42%), has a much lower significant strike defense (36%) and has not yet faced the same level of competition. Historically, fighters debuting in the UFC at age 32 with similar records and defensive metrics have struggled against established, well-rounded UFC lightweights. Davis’s experience, composure, and proven finishing ability give him the edge, especially if the fight goes past the first round where Ramirez’s finishing rate drops. Unless Ramirez lands something big early, Davis’s consistency and ability to mix striking and grappling should carry him to victory.
Live odds
Live and historic odds as well as more fighter statistics and insights for Mitch Ramirez vs Mike Davis can be found on the fighter matchup page. All the fighter matchups and live odds for Lewis vs Teixeira can be found on the Lewis vs Teixeira event page.